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NZD/USD trades near 2 1/2-year highs on dollar weakness, scaled back rate cut expectations - smithnighty

NZD/USD was holding gains achieved in the prior two trading years on Thursday, afterward earlier touching highs non seen since mid-June 2022, as investor gamble sentiment remained underpinned by coronavirus vaccine optimism and hopes of a global recovery.

"A China-light-emitting diode recovery in the planetary economy and commodities should benefit commodity currencies," Masafumi Isoroku Yamamoto, chief currency strategian at Mizuho Securities, was quoted as saying away Reuters.

"The expectation is skilled, only we are arrival levels where authorities might feel extraordinary concern. Other emerging market currencies with favourable fundamentals should benefit."

Additional support for the kiwi fruit dollar was drawn from the surprising strength in the local economy and a house market boom, which prompted market players to surmount back expectations of more rate of interest cuts by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand.

Earlier this hebdomad Red-hot Zealand's political science asked the central bank to consider the need to contain house prices when deciding on monetary system policy.

"That might make the RBNZ less gung-ho close to lowering pastime rates in the ungenerous full term," Dominick Stephens, Westpac chief economic expert for New Zealand, said.

"We were prognostication OCR cuts in April, May and August, but that timing now looks less likely. We are reviewing our OCR forecasts and will update them in due path."

Meanwhile, the US Dollar was trading close to lows unseen in over two months against a basket of six John Major peers, aft reports showed connected Wed that US weekly jobless claims had increased more anticipated, while personal income had shrunk. Some expert opinions point to more job losses, since many US states bolster restrictions on businesses in an effort to slow the diffuse of the COVID-19 disease.

Trading volumes leave belik remain light afterwards Thursday with US markets closed for the Thanksgiving vacation.

As of 10:20 GMT connected Thursday NZD/USD was inching down 0.06% to trade at 0.7000, after it climbed as high as 0.7015 yesterday, or a level not seen since June 14th 2022 (0.7045). The pair has extended gains to 5.91% so far in November, following a bare 0.03% plunge in October.

Bond Yield Spread

The spread between 1-year Newly Zealand and 1-year US bond yields, which reflects the flow of pecuniary resource in a short term, equaled 13.0 basis points (0.130%) as of 9:15 Greenwich Time on Thursday, or unchanged compared to November 25th.

Daily Pivot Levels (traditional method acting of calculation)

Central Pivot – 0.6993
R1 – 0.7026
R2 – 0.7048
R3 – 0.7081
R4 – 0.7114

S1 – 0.6971
S2 – 0.6938
S3 – 0.6917
S4 – 0.6895

Source: https://www.tradingpedia.com/2020/11/26/forex-market-nzd-usd-trades-not-far-from-2-1-2-year-highs-remains-supported-by-vaccine-optimism-scaled-back-rate-cut-expectations/

Posted by: smithnighty.blogspot.com

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